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NEWS | June 1, 2011

Hurricane forecasters predict above-average 2011 season

By Senior Airman Jason J. Brown 633d Air Base Wing Public Affairs

The 2011 Atlantic basin hurricane season began this week and runs through Nov. 30. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts three to six major hurricanes, six to 10 hurricanes and 12 to 18 named storms.

According to the report, weakening La Niña conditions and warmer-than-normal Atlantic sea surface temperatures may lead to favorable conditions for hurricane development and intensification.

"The United States was fortunate last year. Winds steered most of the season's tropical storms and all hurricanes away from our coastlines," said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. "However we can't count on luck to get us through this season. We need to be prepared, especially with this above-normal outlook."

According to 2nd Lt. Rashid Lamb, 1st Operations Support Squadron Weather Flight commander, hurricanes bring several hazards including high winds, flying debris and flooding, which is prominent in the local area due to the network of Chesapeake Bay tributaries that intersect low-lying coastal plains.

The best defense against hurricanes is thorough preparation. Lieutenant Lamb suggests local residents take the following steps:

- Stay informed: Listen closely to weather reports. The public should monitor the progress and strength of the storm through newspapers, the Internet, and local television and radio stations.

- Evacuate as necessary: Mandatory evacuation orders should be obeyed. Coast Guard personnel and other emergency responders may not be able to evacuate people in danger during a storm.

- Secure property, boats and boating equipment: Owners of large boats are urged to move their vessels to inland marinas where they will be less likely to break free of their moorings or to be otherwise damaged. Trailerable boats should be pulled from the water and stored in a place that is not prone to flooding. Mariners who leave their boats in the water are reminded to secure life rings, life jackets, and tenders. Be cautious of hazardous materials: If you have hazardous materials on or near the water, you are responsible for any spills that may occur. Take the necessary precautions to secure these materials prior to any foul weather.

- Stay clear of beaches: Even the best swimmers can fall victim to the strong waves and rip currents caused by storms. Swimmers are urged to stay clear of beaches until local officials say the water is safe.

- Stock up on food and supplies: Ensure you have a few days worth of non-perishable food, water and all important medical prescriptions. Keep your vehicle gas tank full in case evacuations are ordered. Maintain a tool kit and materials to protect your home.

For more information about disaster preparedness, contact the American Red Cross' Fort Eustis office at 878-3339/3168 or Langley Air Force Base office at 225-4060. More information is also available on the Joint Base Langley-Eustis' Hurricane Information page at www.jble.af.mil/library/hurricaneinformation/index.asp.